![]() |
Dr. Louis W. Uccellini presented a Maniac Talk on September 12, 2012 at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center |
Abstract:Over the past 20 years, the entire weather enterprise has made revolutionary advances in the prediction of weather. Remarkably,
even greater progress has been made in the prediction of extreme
weather events out to 7 days in advance (in some cases). In
this presentation, Dr. Louis W. Uccellini, Director of the National
Weather Service’s National Centers for Environmental Prediction, will
review the advancements that have been made in the prediction of extreme
events. He will then trace the revolutionary
transformation of forecasting from a subjective “art” in the 1940’s to
the applied physical science that it is today. Today’s
forecast process is based on 1) an integrated global observing system,
2) numerical weather prediction models and 3) the world’s fastest
computers. He will also describe how climate, weather and
water predictions arebeing linked to decision makers, including the
emergency management and water resource communities. The
linkage of these developments to an improved “Research to Operations”
(R2O) transition process will be highlighted in this presentation
including some recent developments in accelerating the use of satellite
data in advanced numerical models involving the Goddard Space Flight
Center. The talk will conclude with a discussion of what
is (and is not) working as this larger climate, weather, and water
enterprise is attempting to improve the R2O process and accelerating the
transition of research, observations and technology advancements into
operations.
No comments:
Post a Comment